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Open Source Medicine Foundation

Vaccine safety surveillance — Phase 1

Prespecified VAERS signal detection. Not incidence. Not causality.

This page reports observed after vaccination (spontaneous reports) and within-VAERS reporting disproportionality. It does not establish that an event is statistically associated in a population with a denominator, clinically attributed, mechanistically supported, or causally established. VAERS report counts divided by doses are not incidence.
Calibration / falsification. COVID-19 vaccine reports also met the locked hit rule for negative-control outcomes (appendicitis, distal_radius_fracture). That pattern is expected if stimulated reporting or a larger, more visible product inflates many unrelated PTs — it is evidence of residual bias, not a family of injuries. Positive-control myocarditis/pericarditis signals must be read against this background. Anaphylaxis in the 0–1 day window did not meet PRR > 1.5 in this extract.
Protocol phase1-vaers-signal-detection v1.0.0 is locked. A hit means FDR < 0.05 and PRR > 1.5 and ≥5 reports in the prespecified primary window, comparing this vaccine’s VAERS reports with other vaccines’ VAERS reports. That is Level 1 (passive signal) at most. SCCS, cohort incidence, infection adjustment, clinical attribution, and mechanistic tests are not run at Phase 1 — those modules refuse VAERS as input.

Analysis anl_0c98a7f0ae82 · ontology 2026.09.1 · code v0.1.0 · 1,162,127 unique VAERS reports · 14 vaccine groups · 51 hits / 280 tests

What each number is

Reported following vaccinationVAERS spontaneous report mentioning the locked MedDRA set.
Disproportional in VAERSPRR vs other vaccines in the same database (this table).
Epidemiologically associatedNot computed. Needs SCCS/cohort with person-time (Phase 4).
Clinically attributedNot computed. Needs case definition + adjudication (Phase 6).
Causally establishedNot claimed. Requires replicated epi + attribution + mechanism.

COVID-19 vaccines — locked positive controls

Myocarditis (0–7 d) and anaphylaxis (0–1 d) are methodological benchmarks. If they do not appear as reporting signals, investigate the pipeline before reading novel outcomes. A VAERS PRR is still not incidence.

VaccineOutcomeWindown (window)PRR95% CIFDRHitGrade
covidMyocarditis0-7116210.528.21–13.470.000yesL1
covidPericarditis0-79464.793.95–5.800.000yesL1
covidAnaphylaxis0-116601.121.03–1.220.000noL0

Negative-control outcomes (all vaccines)

Appendicitis and distal radius fracture have no credible vaccine causal pathway. PRR substantially above 1 across many vaccines suggests residual reporting bias, not a family of injuries.

VaccineOutcomeWindown (window)PRR95% CIFDRHitGrade
covidAppendicitis (negative control)0-284799.546.59–13.790.000yesL1
covidDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-28322.391.10–5.180.000yesL1
dtapAppendicitis (negative control)0-2830.070.02–0.210.000noL0
dtapDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2830.930.29–3.030.000noL0
hepatitis-aAppendicitis (negative control)0-2830.140.04–0.440.000noL0
hepatitis-aDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2810.600.08–4.400.000noL0
hepatitis-bAppendicitis (negative control)0-2810.810.11–5.780.000noL0
hepatitis-bDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibAppendicitis (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hpvAppendicitis (negative control)0-28140.960.57–1.640.000noL0
hpvDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2821.790.43–7.420.000noL0
influenzaAppendicitis (negative control)0-2850.090.04–0.210.000noL0
influenzaDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2820.470.11–1.950.000noL0
meningococcalAppendicitis (negative control)0-2840.300.11–0.790.000noL0
meningococcalDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2810.960.13–7.000.000noL0
mmrAppendicitis (negative control)0-2810.040.01–0.320.000noL0
mmrDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
otherAppendicitis (negative control)0-2870.290.14–0.600.000noL0
otherDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2821.080.26–4.470.000noL0
pcvAppendicitis (negative control)0-2820.060.01–0.230.000noL0
pcvDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2820.750.18–3.100.000noL0
polioAppendicitis (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
polioDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
rotavirusAppendicitis (negative control)0-2810.130.02–0.920.000noL0
rotavirusDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
varicellaAppendicitis (negative control)0-2820.040.01–0.180.000noL0
varicellaDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2820.580.14–2.420.000noL0

Hits under the locked rule (51)

VaccineOutcomeWindown (window)PRR95% CIFDRHitGrade
covidTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-308450.176.98–360.330.000yesL1
covidThrombotic disease0-28450914.0312.14–16.200.000yesL1
covidMyocarditis0-7116210.528.21–13.470.000yesL1
covidAppendicitis (negative control)0-284799.546.59–13.790.000yesL1
influenzaGuillain-Barré syndrome1-429117.456.83–8.140.000yesL1
hepatitis-bGuillain-Barré syndrome1-42306.284.39–8.990.000yesL1
hpvPOTS0-28435.303.84–7.310.000yesL1
hibEncephalitis0-28404.883.54–6.730.000yesL1
covidPericarditis0-79464.793.95–5.800.000yesL1
hpvOptic neuritis0-28224.332.78–6.740.000yesL1
influenzaTransverse myelitis0-281274.303.48–5.310.000yesL1
rotavirusDeath (as reported)0-283324.073.64–4.540.000yesL1
hepatitis-bEncephalitis0-2853.841.59–9.250.000yesL1
meningococcalOptic neuritis0-28163.352.01–5.590.000yesL1
hepatitis-aEncephalitis0-28633.102.38–4.030.000yesL1
otherGuillain-Barré syndrome1-422593.042.67–3.460.000yesL1
mmrEncephalitis0-28633.002.31–3.900.000yesL1
hibDeath (as reported)0-282542.872.54–3.260.000yesL1
hepatitis-bSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28102.861.54–5.320.000yesL1
influenzaOptic neuritis0-28472.842.04–3.940.000yesL1
mmrThrombocytopenia0-282042.812.43–3.240.000yesL1
covidBell's palsy0-2833152.802.58–3.040.000yesL1
polioEncephalitis0-28192.771.75–4.380.000yesL1
rotavirusEncephalitis0-28222.771.81–4.240.000yesL1
covidArrhythmia0-2884842.762.62–2.900.000yesL1
dtapEncephalitis0-281022.662.15–3.300.000yesL1
hibSeizure0-72292.472.17–2.820.000yesL1
covidDeath (as reported)0-2845512.412.26–2.570.000yesL1
covidDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-28322.391.10–5.180.000yesL1
otherEncephalitis0-28542.261.71–3.000.000yesL1
meningococcalSeizure0-73322.232.00–2.490.000yesL1
pcvEncephalitis0-28712.141.67–2.750.000yesL1
meningococcalGuillain-Barré syndrome1-421082.141.76–2.590.000yesL1
hpvSeizure0-73422.091.87–2.320.000yesL1
covidPOTS0-282462.011.55–2.610.000yesL1
rotavirusSeizure0-71762.011.73–2.330.000yesL1
influenzaEncephalitis0-28981.971.58–2.450.000yesL1
hibThrombocytopenia0-28571.931.49–2.520.000yesL1
meningococcalEncephalitis0-28251.811.21–2.700.000yesL1
meningococcalTransverse myelitis0-28181.811.13–2.900.000yesL1
dtapTransverse myelitis0-28531.811.35–2.410.000yesL1
hepatitis-aThrombocytopenia0-281321.801.50–2.140.000yesL1
otherTransverse myelitis0-28311.761.22–2.550.000yesL1
covidSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-28198481.721.68–1.770.000yesL1
covidSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2810761.701.51–1.910.000yesL1
dtapSeizure0-77341.631.51–1.760.000yesL1
hepatitis-bSeizure0-7231.611.07–2.420.000yesL1
polioAnaphylaxis0-1521.591.21–2.100.000yesL1
otherOptic neuritis0-28141.580.92–2.730.000yesL1
hepatitis-aSeizure0-73641.551.39–1.720.000yesL1
hpvEncephalitis0-28231.500.99–2.280.000yesL1

COVID-19 — all locked outcomes

VaccineOutcomeWindown (window)PRR95% CIFDRHitGrade
covidMyocarditis0-7116210.528.21–13.470.000yesL1
covidPericarditis0-79464.793.95–5.800.000yesL1
covidArrhythmia0-2884842.762.62–2.900.000yesL1
covidThrombotic disease0-28450914.0312.14–16.200.000yesL1
covidSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-28758471.111.10–1.120.000noL0
covidSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2810761.701.51–1.910.000yesL1
covidSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-28198481.721.68–1.770.000yesL1
covidPOTS0-282462.011.55–2.610.000yesL1
covidGuillain-Barré syndrome1-424660.180.16–0.200.000noL0
covidTransverse myelitis0-281440.350.28–0.430.000noL0
covidEncephalitis0-282030.360.30–0.420.000noL0
covidOptic neuritis0-28820.430.33–0.580.000noL0
covidBell's palsy0-2833152.802.58–3.040.000yesL1
covidSeizure0-738871.141.08–1.200.000noL0
covidThrombocytopenia0-2811901.050.96–1.160.000noL0
covidTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-308450.176.98–360.330.000yesL1
covidAnaphylaxis0-116601.121.03–1.220.000noL0
covidDeath (as reported)0-2845512.412.26–2.570.000yesL1
covidAppendicitis (negative control)0-284799.546.59–13.790.000yesL1
covidDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-28322.391.10–5.180.000yesL1

Full catalogue (every vaccine × outcome)

Primary window is outcome-specific and was locked before this run. Secondary window histograms live in vaccine_safety/data/derived/phase1_signals.json. Do not promote a secondary window to primary after seeing these numbers.

VaccineOutcomeWindown (window)PRR95% CIFDRHitGrade
covidMyocarditis0-7116210.528.21–13.470.000yesL1
covidPericarditis0-79464.793.95–5.800.000yesL1
covidArrhythmia0-2884842.762.62–2.900.000yesL1
covidThrombotic disease0-28450914.0312.14–16.200.000yesL1
covidSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-28758471.111.10–1.120.000noL0
covidSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2810761.701.51–1.910.000yesL1
covidSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-28198481.721.68–1.770.000yesL1
covidPOTS0-282462.011.55–2.610.000yesL1
covidGuillain-Barré syndrome1-424660.180.16–0.200.000noL0
covidTransverse myelitis0-281440.350.28–0.430.000noL0
covidEncephalitis0-282030.360.30–0.420.000noL0
covidOptic neuritis0-28820.430.33–0.580.000noL0
covidBell's palsy0-2833152.802.58–3.040.000yesL1
covidSeizure0-738871.141.08–1.200.000noL0
covidThrombocytopenia0-2811901.050.96–1.160.000noL0
covidTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-308450.176.98–360.330.000yesL1
covidAnaphylaxis0-116601.121.03–1.220.000noL0
covidDeath (as reported)0-2845512.412.26–2.570.000yesL1
covidAppendicitis (negative control)0-284799.546.59–13.790.000yesL1
covidDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-28322.391.10–5.180.000yesL1
dtapMyocarditis0-7160.150.09–0.250.000noL0
dtapPericarditis0-7160.180.11–0.290.000noL0
dtapArrhythmia0-283730.430.39–0.480.000noL0
dtapThrombotic disease0-28240.060.04–0.090.000noL0
dtapSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2858750.610.60–0.630.000noL0
dtapSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28430.350.26–0.470.000noL0
dtapSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-2812410.560.53–0.590.000noL0
dtapPOTS0-2870.260.12–0.550.000noL0
dtapGuillain-Barré syndrome1-422261.461.28–1.680.000noL0
dtapTransverse myelitis0-28531.811.35–2.410.000yesL1
dtapEncephalitis0-281022.662.15–3.300.000yesL1
dtapOptic neuritis0-28181.170.72–1.900.000noL0
dtapBell's palsy0-28870.250.21–0.310.000noL0
dtapSeizure0-77341.631.51–1.760.000yesL1
dtapThrombocytopenia0-281410.940.79–1.120.000noL0
dtapTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
dtapAnaphylaxis0-12091.030.90–1.190.000noL0
dtapDeath (as reported)0-285031.121.02–1.230.000noL0
dtapAppendicitis (negative control)0-2830.070.02–0.210.000noL0
dtapDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2830.930.29–3.030.000noL0
hepatitis-aMyocarditis0-7100.190.10–0.360.000noL0
hepatitis-aPericarditis0-780.180.09–0.360.000noL0
hepatitis-aArrhythmia0-281580.370.31–0.430.000noL0
hepatitis-aThrombotic disease0-28110.060.03–0.100.000noL0
hepatitis-aSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2820520.420.41–0.440.000noL0
hepatitis-aSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28190.310.20–0.490.000noL0
hepatitis-aSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-287420.670.63–0.720.000noL0
hepatitis-aPOTS0-2860.450.20–1.010.000noL0
hepatitis-aGuillain-Barré syndrome1-42810.990.80–1.240.000noL0
hepatitis-aTransverse myelitis0-28171.070.66–1.740.000noL0
hepatitis-aEncephalitis0-28633.102.38–4.030.000yesL1
hepatitis-aOptic neuritis0-28111.410.77–2.590.000noL0
hepatitis-aBell's palsy0-28570.340.26–0.440.000noL0
hepatitis-aSeizure0-73641.551.39–1.720.000yesL1
hepatitis-aThrombocytopenia0-281321.801.50–2.140.000yesL1
hepatitis-aTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
hepatitis-aAnaphylaxis0-1980.950.77–1.160.000noL0
hepatitis-aDeath (as reported)0-281870.800.69–0.930.000noL0
hepatitis-aAppendicitis (negative control)0-2830.140.04–0.440.000noL0
hepatitis-aDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2810.600.08–4.400.000noL0
hepatitis-bMyocarditis0-720.670.17–2.700.000noL0
hepatitis-bPericarditis0-710.390.05–2.760.000noL0
hepatitis-bArrhythmia0-28140.560.33–0.950.000noL0
hepatitis-bThrombotic disease0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hepatitis-bSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-283211.141.03–1.260.000noL0
hepatitis-bSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28102.861.54–5.320.000yesL1
hepatitis-bSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-28941.461.20–1.780.000noL0
hepatitis-bPOTS0-2811.300.18–9.250.000noL0
hepatitis-bGuillain-Barré syndrome1-42306.284.39–8.990.000yesL1
hepatitis-bTransverse myelitis0-2811.060.15–7.540.000noL0
hepatitis-bEncephalitis0-2853.841.59–9.250.000yesL1
hepatitis-bOptic neuritis0-2812.130.30–15.190.000noL0
hepatitis-bBell's palsy0-2890.930.48–1.780.000noL0
hepatitis-bSeizure0-7231.611.07–2.420.000yesL1
hepatitis-bThrombocytopenia0-2851.110.46–2.670.000noL0
hepatitis-bTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
hepatitis-bAnaphylaxis0-160.980.44–2.170.000noL0
hepatitis-bDeath (as reported)0-2820.150.04–0.580.000noL0
hepatitis-bAppendicitis (negative control)0-2810.810.11–5.780.000noL0
hepatitis-bDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibMyocarditis0-710.050.01–0.360.000noL0
hibPericarditis0-730.170.06–0.540.000noL0
hibArrhythmia0-281000.600.49–0.730.000noL0
hibThrombotic disease0-2810.010.00–0.090.000noL0
hibSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-28920.050.04–0.060.000noL0
hibSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-28410.090.07–0.130.000noL0
hibPOTS0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibGuillain-Barré syndrome1-4290.280.14–0.530.000noL0
hibTransverse myelitis0-2860.960.43–2.140.000noL0
hibEncephalitis0-28404.883.54–6.730.000yesL1
hibOptic neuritis0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibBell's palsy0-2890.140.07–0.260.000noL0
hibSeizure0-72292.472.17–2.820.000yesL1
hibThrombocytopenia0-28571.931.49–2.520.000yesL1
hibTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
hibAnaphylaxis0-1220.540.35–0.810.000noL0
hibDeath (as reported)0-282542.872.54–3.260.000yesL1
hibAppendicitis (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hibDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
hpvMyocarditis0-7100.280.15–0.520.000noL0
hpvPericarditis0-780.260.13–0.520.000noL0
hpvArrhythmia0-281760.590.51–0.680.000noL0
hpvThrombotic disease0-28350.260.18–0.360.000noL0
hpvSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2823730.710.68–0.730.000noL0
hpvSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28200.470.30–0.740.000noL0
hpvSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-289761.291.21–1.370.000noL0
hpvPOTS0-28435.303.84–7.310.000yesL1
hpvGuillain-Barré syndrome1-42560.980.75–1.280.000noL0
hpvTransverse myelitis0-28141.260.74–2.150.000noL0
hpvEncephalitis0-28231.500.99–2.280.000yesL1
hpvOptic neuritis0-28224.332.78–6.740.000yesL1
hpvBell's palsy0-28580.500.38–0.640.000noL0
hpvSeizure0-73422.091.87–2.320.000yesL1
hpvThrombocytopenia0-28440.820.61–1.110.000noL0
hpvTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
hpvAnaphylaxis0-1510.700.53–0.920.000noL0
hpvDeath (as reported)0-28440.270.20–0.360.000noL0
hpvAppendicitis (negative control)0-28140.960.57–1.640.000noL0
hpvDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2821.790.43–7.420.000noL0
influenzaMyocarditis0-7210.160.10–0.240.000noL0
influenzaPericarditis0-7570.510.39–0.660.000noL0
influenzaArrhythmia0-286270.580.53–0.630.000noL0
influenzaThrombotic disease0-28800.150.12–0.190.000noL0
influenzaSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-28156271.381.36–1.400.000noL0
influenzaSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-281721.201.02–1.400.000noL0
influenzaSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-2823650.870.83–0.900.000noL0
influenzaPOTS0-28180.530.33–0.860.000noL0
influenzaGuillain-Barré syndrome1-429117.456.83–8.140.000yesL1
influenzaTransverse myelitis0-281274.303.48–5.310.000yesL1
influenzaEncephalitis0-28981.971.58–2.450.000yesL1
influenzaOptic neuritis0-28472.842.04–3.940.000yesL1
influenzaBell's palsy0-282850.680.60–0.770.000noL0
influenzaSeizure0-75710.950.88–1.040.000noL0
influenzaThrombocytopenia0-281881.000.86–1.160.000noL0
influenzaTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
influenzaAnaphylaxis0-13321.341.20–1.510.000noL0
influenzaDeath (as reported)0-283560.600.54–0.660.000noL0
influenzaAppendicitis (negative control)0-2850.090.04–0.210.000noL0
influenzaDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2820.470.11–1.950.000noL0
meningococcalMyocarditis0-7140.430.26–0.730.000noL0
meningococcalPericarditis0-790.320.17–0.620.000noL0
meningococcalArrhythmia0-281540.570.48–0.670.000noL0
meningococcalThrombotic disease0-2860.050.02–0.110.000noL0
meningococcalSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2825970.850.82–0.890.000noL0
meningococcalSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28130.340.20–0.580.000noL0
meningococcalSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-288641.251.17–1.340.000noL0
meningococcalPOTS0-28111.340.73–2.440.000noL0
meningococcalGuillain-Barré syndrome1-421082.141.76–2.590.000yesL1
meningococcalTransverse myelitis0-28181.811.13–2.900.000yesL1
meningococcalEncephalitis0-28251.811.21–2.700.000yesL1
meningococcalOptic neuritis0-28163.352.01–5.590.000yesL1
meningococcalBell's palsy0-28610.580.45–0.740.000noL0
meningococcalSeizure0-73322.232.00–2.490.000yesL1
meningococcalThrombocytopenia0-28430.880.65–1.200.000noL0
meningococcalTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
meningococcalAnaphylaxis0-1540.810.62–1.060.000noL0
meningococcalDeath (as reported)0-28220.150.10–0.220.000noL0
meningococcalAppendicitis (negative control)0-2840.300.11–0.790.000noL0
meningococcalDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2810.960.13–7.000.000noL0
mmrMyocarditis0-740.070.03–0.200.000noL0
mmrPericarditis0-730.060.02–0.200.000noL0
mmrArrhythmia0-28960.210.18–0.260.000noL0
mmrThrombotic disease0-2820.010.00–0.040.000noL0
mmrSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-289620.190.18–0.200.000noL0
mmrSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2890.140.07–0.270.000noL0
mmrSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-282930.250.23–0.280.000noL0
mmrPOTS0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
mmrGuillain-Barré syndrome1-42380.440.32–0.610.000noL0
mmrTransverse myelitis0-2840.240.09–0.630.000noL0
mmrEncephalitis0-28633.002.31–3.900.000yesL1
mmrOptic neuritis0-2830.360.11–1.120.000noL0
mmrBell's palsy0-28390.220.16–0.310.000noL0
mmrSeizure0-72561.030.91–1.170.000noL0
mmrThrombocytopenia0-282042.812.43–3.240.000yesL1
mmrTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
mmrAnaphylaxis0-11371.301.10–1.550.000noL0
mmrDeath (as reported)0-28600.240.19–0.310.000noL0
mmrAppendicitis (negative control)0-2810.040.01–0.320.000noL0
mmrDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
otherMyocarditis0-7320.550.39–0.780.000noL0
otherPericarditis0-7440.880.65–1.190.000noL0
otherArrhythmia0-283850.790.72–0.880.000noL0
otherThrombotic disease0-28590.260.20–0.340.000noL0
otherSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2856501.041.02–1.070.000noL0
otherSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28791.180.94–1.480.000noL0
otherSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-2812230.980.93–1.040.000noL0
otherPOTS0-2870.460.22–0.970.000noL0
otherGuillain-Barré syndrome1-422593.042.67–3.460.000yesL1
otherTransverse myelitis0-28311.761.22–2.550.000yesL1
otherEncephalitis0-28542.261.71–3.000.000yesL1
otherOptic neuritis0-28141.580.92–2.730.000yesL1
otherBell's palsy0-281200.630.53–0.760.000noL0
otherSeizure0-72340.840.74–0.960.000noL0
otherThrombocytopenia0-281161.361.13–1.640.000noL0
otherTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3010.240.03–1.750.000noL0
otherAnaphylaxis0-11401.191.01–1.410.000noL0
otherDeath (as reported)0-281720.640.55–0.740.000noL0
otherAppendicitis (negative control)0-2870.290.14–0.600.000noL0
otherDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2821.080.26–4.470.000noL0
pcvMyocarditis0-750.060.02–0.140.000noL0
pcvPericarditis0-790.120.06–0.230.000noL0
pcvArrhythmia0-283520.500.45–0.560.000noL0
pcvThrombotic disease0-28350.110.08–0.150.000noL0
pcvSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2882361.081.06–1.100.000noL0
pcvSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28220.220.14–0.330.000noL0
pcvSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-287420.410.38–0.440.000noL0
pcvPOTS0-2820.090.02–0.360.000noL0
pcvGuillain-Barré syndrome1-421240.940.78–1.130.000noL0
pcvTransverse myelitis0-28200.770.49–1.200.000noL0
pcvEncephalitis0-28712.141.67–2.750.000yesL1
pcvOptic neuritis0-2810.070.01–0.520.000noL0
pcvBell's palsy0-28570.200.16–0.270.000noL0
pcvSeizure0-74401.141.04–1.260.000noL0
pcvThrombocytopenia0-281391.150.96–1.360.000noL0
pcvTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
pcvAnaphylaxis0-1890.520.42–0.640.000noL0
pcvDeath (as reported)0-285191.431.31–1.570.000noL0
pcvAppendicitis (negative control)0-2820.060.01–0.230.000noL0
pcvDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2820.750.18–3.100.000noL0
polioMyocarditis0-720.120.03–0.500.000noL0
polioPericarditis0-700.00—–—0.000noL0
polioArrhythmia0-28350.260.19–0.360.000noL0
polioThrombotic disease0-2830.050.02–0.150.000noL0
polioSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-283390.220.20–0.250.000noL0
polioSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2830.160.05–0.490.000noL0
polioSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-281370.390.33–0.470.000noL0
polioPOTS0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
polioGuillain-Barré syndrome1-42210.810.53–1.240.000noL0
polioTransverse myelitis0-2810.200.03–1.390.000noL0
polioEncephalitis0-28192.771.75–4.380.000yesL1
polioOptic neuritis0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
polioBell's palsy0-28130.250.14–0.430.000noL0
polioSeizure0-7500.650.49–0.860.000noL0
polioThrombocytopenia0-28271.120.77–1.640.000noL0
polioTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
polioAnaphylaxis0-1521.591.21–2.100.000yesL1
polioDeath (as reported)0-28370.500.36–0.690.000noL0
polioAppendicitis (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
polioDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
rotavirusMyocarditis0-720.110.03–0.430.000noL0
rotavirusPericarditis0-720.120.03–0.490.000noL0
rotavirusArrhythmia0-28830.530.43–0.660.000noL0
rotavirusThrombotic disease0-2870.100.05–0.200.000noL0
rotavirusSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-28220.010.01–0.020.000noL0
rotavirusSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
rotavirusSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-28320.080.06–0.110.000noL0
rotavirusPOTS0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
rotavirusGuillain-Barré syndrome1-4240.130.05–0.350.000noL0
rotavirusTransverse myelitis0-2850.850.35–2.050.000noL0
rotavirusEncephalitis0-28222.771.81–4.240.000yesL1
rotavirusOptic neuritis0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
rotavirusBell's palsy0-2880.130.07–0.260.000noL0
rotavirusSeizure0-71762.011.73–2.330.000yesL1
rotavirusThrombocytopenia0-28240.850.57–1.280.000noL0
rotavirusTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
rotavirusAnaphylaxis0-1100.260.14–0.480.000noL0
rotavirusDeath (as reported)0-283324.073.64–4.540.000yesL1
rotavirusAppendicitis (negative control)0-2810.130.02–0.920.000noL0
rotavirusDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2800.00—–—0.000noL0
varicellaMyocarditis0-7110.100.06–0.180.000noL0
varicellaPericarditis0-7120.130.07–0.220.000noL0
varicellaArrhythmia0-282260.250.22–0.280.000noL0
varicellaThrombotic disease0-28310.070.05–0.100.000noL0
varicellaSFN-1 symptom phenotype0-2875600.770.75–0.790.000noL0
varicellaSFN-2 peripheral-neuropathy phenotype0-28660.530.41–0.670.000noL0
varicellaSFN-3 autonomic phenotype0-2810930.470.45–0.500.000noL0
varicellaPOTS0-2830.110.03–0.330.000noL0
varicellaGuillain-Barré syndrome1-421190.700.58–0.840.000noL0
varicellaTransverse myelitis0-28240.720.48–1.100.000noL0
varicellaEncephalitis0-28631.461.12–1.890.000noL0
varicellaOptic neuritis0-28110.660.36–1.220.000noL0
varicellaBell's palsy0-281660.480.41–0.560.000noL0
varicellaSeizure0-72620.510.45–0.580.000noL0
varicellaThrombocytopenia0-281571.020.87–1.200.000noL0
varicellaTTS / thrombosis with thrombocytopenia4-3000.00—–—0.000noL0
varicellaAnaphylaxis0-11530.710.60–0.840.000noL0
varicellaDeath (as reported)0-281220.240.20–0.290.000noL0
varicellaAppendicitis (negative control)0-2820.040.01–0.180.000noL0
varicellaDistal radius fracture (negative control)0-2820.580.14–2.420.000noL0

Reproduce: python -m vaccine_safety run-phase1. SCCS/cohort: python -c "from vaccine_safety.analyses.sccs import run; run()" raises by design. Protocol: vaccine_safety/config/analyses/phase1_protocol.json. Evidence against any association is in the evidence_item table (reporting bias, infection confounding, SFN-not-confirmed).

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