Conjugated Estrogens and Bazedoxifene side effects: what 932 FDA adverse event reports show
Drug class
Estrogen
Label matched
Conjugated Estrogens (Premarin Vaginal)
Who reports
932 reports · 22% serious · 2 with death outcome · 100% female
Used for
PREMARIN (conjugated estrogens) vaginal cream is a mixture of estrogens indicated for: • Treatment of Atrophic Vaginitis and Kraurosis Vulvae ( 1.1 ) • Treatment of Moderate to Severe Dyspareunia, a Symptom of Vulvar and Vaginal Atrophy, due to Menopau.
What it is
Each gram of PREMARIN (CE) vaginal cream contains 0.625 mg CE, USP in a nonliquefying base containing cetyl esters wax, cetyl alcohol, white wax, glyceryl monostearate, propylene glycol monostearate, methyl stearate, benzyl alcohol, sodium lauryl sulfate, glycerin, and mineral oil.
Boxed warning
ENDOMETRIAL CANCER, CARDIOVASCULAR DISORDERS, BREAST CANCER and PROBABLE DEMENTIA Estrogen-Alone Therapy Endometrial Cancer There is an increased risk of endometrial cancer in a woman with a uterus who uses unopposed estrogens.
Causality screen of the 10 strongest signals
What the badges mean
- Labeled adverse reaction The exact term appears in the label's warnings or adverse-reactions sections: a known, expected effect. The FAERS signal confirms the label rather than discovering anything.
- Labeled (related wording) The label describes this effect under different wording (e.g. 'neutropenia' for 'neutrophil count decreased'). Treated as known.
- Reporting / coding artifact An administrative, monitoring or exposure term (product issue, off-label use, 'test normal', overdose...). Not a biological reaction; a high PRR here reflects how reports are coded.
- Not in label — unassessed Not found in the label text, not an artifact pattern. This is a genuine candidate for a formal causality assessment (Bradford Hill / WHO-UMC); it has NOT had one here.
Strongest disproportionality signals
Flagged terms (PRR ≥ 2, χ² ≥ 4, n ≥ 10), ranked by PRR; infinite PRRs (no comparator reports) excluded. The EBGM column is a second, shrinkage-based estimate (MGPS) with its 5th percentile EB05 and the BCPNN IC025; a pair flagged by PRR alone is marked PRR-only and should be read as fragile. The strata column recomputes the PRR on serious reports only and flags pairs whose reports are unusually skewed by sex or come mostly from consumers rather than clinicians. 2 further terms are in the interactive explorer. Reaction links open the term's cross-drug page.
| Reaction | Reports | PRR 95% CI · ROR · χ²/p | EBGM EB05 · IC025 | Label screen | Serious-only & strata | Trial cross-check |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot flush (hot flashes) | 78 | 23.3 18.8–28.8ROR 25.3 · χ² 1,647 / p <1e-300 | 23.2 EB05 19.2 · IC025 +4.0 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 11.9 | no trial data cached |
| Breast pain | 7 | 14.8 7.1–30.9ROR 14.9 · χ² 77 / p 1e-18 | 11.9 EB05 4.9 · IC025 +1.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=1 | no trial data cached |
| Drug effect incomplete | 22 | 13.4 8.9–20.3ROR 13.7 · χ² 241 / p 1e-54 | 12.8 EB05 8.5 · IC025 +2.7 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 6.3 | no trial data cached |
| Metrorrhagia | 10 | 13.0 7.0–24.1ROR 13.1 · χ² 99 / p 1e-23 | 11.1 EB05 5.5 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=2 | no trial data cached |
| Therapeutic response unexpected | 25 | 12.5 8.5–18.4ROR 12.8 · χ² 254 / p 2e-57 | 11.9 EB05 8.1 · IC025 +2.7 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 10.2 · 84% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Vaginal haemorrhage | 16 | 8.5 5.2–13.7ROR 8.6 · χ² 98 / p 2e-23 | 7.2 EB05 4.6 · IC025 +1.9 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 38.0 | no trial data cached |
| Mood altered | 10 | 8.3 4.5–15.3ROR 8.4 · χ² 57 / p 2e-14 | 6.5 EB05 3.6 · IC025 +1.5 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | – | no trial data cached |
| Irritability | 21 | 7.8 5.1–12.0ROR 8.0 · χ² 119 / p 5e-28 | 6.9 EB05 4.7 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 1.7 · 71% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Mood swings | 8 | 5.6 2.8–11.3ROR 5.7 · χ² 26 / p 2e-7 | 4.4 EB05 2.4 · IC025 +0.9 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | – | no trial data cached |
| Drug effective for unapproved indication | 7 | 5.4 2.6–11.3ROR 5.4 · χ² 21 / p 2e-6 | 4.1 EB05 2.2 · IC025 +0.8 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | – | no trial data cached |
Trial evidence (ClinicalTrials.gov)
Most frequently reported reactions
By raw co-report count, regardless of disproportionality. Common terms here are often the illness itself or generic outcomes.
| Reaction | Reports | PRR 95% CI · ROR · χ²/p | EBGM EB05 · IC025 | Label screen | Serious-only & strata | Trial cross-check |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hot flush (hot flashes) | 78 | 23.3 18.8–28.8ROR 25.3 · χ² 1,647 / p <1e-300 | 23.2 EB05 19.2 · IC025 +4.0 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 11.9 | no trial data cached |
| Therapeutic response unexpected | 25 | 12.5 8.5–18.4ROR 12.8 · χ² 254 / p 2e-57 | 11.9 EB05 8.1 · IC025 +2.7 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 10.2 · 84% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Drug effect incomplete | 22 | 13.4 8.9–20.3ROR 13.7 · χ² 241 / p 1e-54 | 12.8 EB05 8.5 · IC025 +2.7 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 6.3 | no trial data cached |
| Irritability | 21 | 7.8 5.1–12.0ROR 8.0 · χ² 119 / p 5e-28 | 6.9 EB05 4.7 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 1.7 · 71% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Vaginal haemorrhage | 16 | 8.5 5.2–13.7ROR 8.6 · χ² 98 / p 2e-23 | 7.2 EB05 4.6 · IC025 +1.9 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 38.0 | no trial data cached |
| Mood altered | 10 | 8.3 4.5–15.3ROR 8.4 · χ² 57 / p 2e-14 | 6.5 EB05 3.6 · IC025 +1.5 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | – | no trial data cached |
| Metrorrhagia | 10 | 13.0 7.0–24.1ROR 13.1 · χ² 99 / p 1e-23 | 11.1 EB05 5.5 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=2 | no trial data cached |
| Mood swings | 8 | 5.6 2.8–11.3ROR 5.7 · χ² 26 / p 2e-7 | 4.4 EB05 2.4 · IC025 +0.9 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | – | no trial data cached |
| Drug effective for unapproved indication | 7 | 5.4 2.6–11.3ROR 5.4 · χ² 21 / p 2e-6 | 4.1 EB05 2.2 · IC025 +0.8 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | – | no trial data cached |
| Breast pain | 7 | 14.8 7.1–30.9ROR 14.9 · χ² 77 / p 1e-18 | 11.9 EB05 4.9 · IC025 +1.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=1 | no trial data cached |
| Menorrhagia (heavy periods) | 3 | 3.4 1.1–10.5ROR 3.4 · χ² 3 / p 0.043 | 2.5 EB05 1.0 · IC025 -0.7 PRR-only: not supported by EBGM or IC | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 6.7 | no trial data cached |
| Dysmenorrhoea | 3 | 5.2 1.7–16.0ROR 5.2 · χ² 6 / p 0.006 | 3.3 EB05 1.3 · IC025 -0.4 PRR-only: not supported by EBGM or IC | Not in label — unassessed | serious n=1 | no trial data cached |
Unlabeled candidate signals
These flagged terms were not found in the FDA label text and do not match an artifact pattern. They are the pairs that would merit a structured assessment (temporality, dose-response, biological plausibility, consistency across databases, trial or cohort evidence). The screen has not done that; string-matching misses label wording, and a strong PRR can still be stimulated reporting, co-medication, or the disease itself.
- Hot flush — n=78, PRR 23.3
Want to assess one of these properly? The runbook describes the Bradford Hill / trial-evidence workflow used on the assessment page, and handoff_top1000_signals.csv lists the strongest unassessed pairs across all drugs.
Common questions
What are the most reported side effects of Conjugated Estrogens and Bazedoxifene?
In FDA FAERS, the most frequently co-reported reaction terms for Conjugated Estrogens and Bazedoxifene are hot flush, irritability, vaginal haemorrhage, mood altered, metrorrhagia, mood swings. These are report counts, not rates: FAERS has no denominator, reporting is voluntary and uneven, and a term can be reported because of the illness being treated rather than the drug.
Does Conjugated Estrogens and Bazedoxifene have an FDA boxed warning?
Yes. The current FDA label carries a boxed warning: ENDOMETRIAL CANCER, CARDIOVASCULAR DISORDERS, BREAST CANCER and PROBABLE DEMENTIA Estrogen-Alone Therapy Endometrial Cancer There is an increased risk of endometrial cancer in a woman with a uterus who uses unopposed estrogens.
Do FAERS signals prove that Conjugated Estrogens and Bazedoxifene causes these side effects?
No. A disproportionality signal (PRR, ROR) means a reaction is reported more often with this drug than with others in the database. That can reflect a real effect, but also the disease being treated, stimulated reporting after news or litigation, co-medications, or how reports are coded. Causality needs temporality, dose-response, biological plausibility, consistency across data sources and, ideally, trial or cohort evidence. This page screens each term against the FDA label and ClinicalTrials.gov results; it does not establish causation.
Sources & methods
- FDA label via openFDA (set ID 96609623-528e-4aba-cabe-7254aed816d5, effective 20250530; matched on
openfda.generic_name.exact:"CONJUGATED ESTROGENS") - Bayesian shrinkage measures computed offline over all 1,317,300 cached pairs: BCPNN information component (IC, with Norén closed-form IC025) and MGPS empirical-Bayes geometric mean (EBGM, EB05) with a two-component gamma prior fitted by maximum marginal likelihood (α₁=0.57, β₁=0.02, α₂=1.42, β₂=0.70, w=0.17); unstratified
- FAERS pair statistics from the OpenPV build of 2026-09-14 (openFDA
count=aggregation, fieldpatient.drug.openfda.generic_name.exact, 12 reaction terms, min 3 co-reports); PRR/ROR with 95% CI, chi-square with Yates correction - Serious-only and stratified counts (serious:1, patient.patientsex, primarysource.qualification) from openFDA count queries; serious-only PRR uses the drug serious report total and the term global serious total (N_serious=11,882,979); strata shown only when n ≥ 20
- Seriousness and sex counts from openFDA
count=serious,patient.patientsex,seriousnessdeath
Page generated 2026-10-08. Label and PubChem text are retrieved automatically and may lag the current label; always check the current prescribing information. OpenPV is a beta research tool of the Open Source Medicine Foundation.