Estradiol and Levonorgestrel side effects: what 2,021 FDA adverse event reports show
Drug class
Estrogen
Label matched
Estradiol (Estradiol)
Who reports
2,021 reports · 12% serious · 1 with death outcome · 100% female
Used for
Estradiol transdermal system is indicated for: Estradiol transdermal system is an estrogen indicated for: Treatment of moderate to severe vasomotor symptoms due to menopause (1.1) Treatment of moderate to severe symptoms of vulvar and vaginal atrophy d.
What it is
Estradiol transdermal system, USP contains estradiol, USP in a multipolymeric adhesive. The system is designed to release estradiol, USP continuously upon application to intact skin. Five dosa.
Boxed warning
ENDOMETRIAL CANCER, CARDIOVASCULAR DISORDERS, PROBABLE DEMENTIA, and BREAST CANCER Estrogen-Alone Therapy Endometrial Cancer There is an increased risk of endometrial cancer in a woman with a uterus who uses unopposed estrogens.
Causality screen of the 36 strongest signals
What the badges mean
- Labeled adverse reaction The exact term appears in the label's warnings or adverse-reactions sections: a known, expected effect. The FAERS signal confirms the label rather than discovering anything.
- Labeled (related wording) The label describes this effect under different wording (e.g. 'neutropenia' for 'neutrophil count decreased'). Treated as known.
- Reporting / coding artifact An administrative, monitoring or exposure term (product issue, off-label use, 'test normal', overdose...). Not a biological reaction; a high PRR here reflects how reports are coded.
- Not in label — unassessed Not found in the label text, not an artifact pattern. This is a genuine candidate for a formal causality assessment (Bradford Hill / WHO-UMC); it has NOT had one here.
Strongest disproportionality signals
Flagged terms (PRR ≥ 2, χ² ≥ 4, n ≥ 10), ranked by PRR; infinite PRRs (no comparator reports) excluded. The EBGM column is a second, shrinkage-based estimate (MGPS) with its 5th percentile EB05 and the BCPNN IC025; a pair flagged by PRR alone is marked PRR-only and should be read as fragile. The strata column recomputes the PRR on serious reports only and flags pairs whose reports are unusually skewed by sex or come mostly from consumers rather than clinicians. 14 further terms are in the interactive explorer. Reaction links open the term's cross-drug page.
| Reaction | Reports | PRR 95% CI · ROR · χ²/p | EBGM EB05 · IC025 | Label screen | Serious-only & strata | Trial cross-check |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product adhesion issue | 668 | 199.3 187.1–212.2ROR 297.2 · χ² 129,287 / p <1e-300 | 194.4 EB05 182.3 · IC025 +7.3 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=66 | no trial data cached |
| Product physical issue | 329 | 174.2 157.6–192.4ROR 207.8 · χ² 55,575 / p <1e-300 | 169.6 EB05 154.7 · IC025 +6.9 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=26 | no trial data cached |
| Device adhesion issue | 245 | 169.9 150.9–191.2ROR 193.2 · χ² 40,324 / p <1e-300 | 165.0 EB05 148.4 · IC025 +6.8 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=17 · 87% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site rash | 189 | 144.1 125.7–165.2ROR 158.8 · χ² 26,360 / p <1e-300 | 140.1 EB05 124.1 · IC025 +6.5 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious n=3 · 79% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site irritation | 89 | 74.7 60.9–91.6ROR 78.1 · χ² 6,358 / p <1e-300 | 73.1 EB05 61.2 · IC025 +5.4 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=7 · 77% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site pruritus | 107 | 49.1 40.8–59.1ROR 51.8 · χ² 4,980 / p <1e-300 | 48.5 EB05 41.3 · IC025 +5.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious n=4 · 78% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site erythema | 98 | 38.8 32.0–47.1ROR 40.7 · χ² 3,560 / p <1e-300 | 38.4 EB05 32.4 · IC025 +4.7 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=4 · 75% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Hot flush (hot flashes) | 226 | 31.2 27.6–35.3ROR 35.0 · χ² 6,579 / p <1e-300 | 31.0 EB05 27.8 · IC025 +4.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 27.6 · 70% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Metrorrhagia | 51 | 30.7 23.4–40.2ROR 31.4 · χ² 1,432 / p <1e-300 | 30.3 EB05 23.9 · IC025 +4.1 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious n=2 · 84% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Genital haemorrhage | 31 | 24.9 17.6–35.3ROR 25.3 · χ² 687 / p 1e-151 | 24.5 EB05 18.1 · IC025 +3.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious PRR 88.1 · 81% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Device breakage | 92 | 24.4 19.9–29.7ROR 25.5 · χ² 2,036 / p <1e-300 | 24.2 EB05 20.3 · IC025 +4.1 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 12.9 | no trial data cached |
| Device use issue | 30 | 18.0 12.6–25.7ROR 18.3 · χ² 465 / p 2e-103 | 17.7 EB05 12.9 · IC025 +3.2 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | 80% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Vaginal haemorrhage | 73 | 17.8 14.2–22.3ROR 18.4 · χ² 1,142 / p 1e-250 | 17.7 EB05 14.5 · IC025 +3.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 50.1 · 79% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Wrong technique in device usage process | 71 | 16.1 12.8–20.3ROR 16.7 · χ² 993 / p 2e-218 | 16.0 EB05 13.1 · IC025 +3.5 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=8 · 82% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Device defective | 25 | 16.1 10.9–23.7ROR 16.2 · χ² 338 / p 1e-75 | 15.7 EB05 10.9 · IC025 +3.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=4 · 76% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site pain | 31 | 14.6 10.3–20.7ROR 14.8 · χ² 380 / p 6e-85 | 14.3 EB05 10.3 · IC025 +3.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | 77% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Breast pain | 15 | 14.6 8.8–24.2ROR 14.7 · χ² 177 / p 1e-40 | 13.7 EB05 8.1 · IC025 +2.5 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious n=4 | no trial data cached |
| Night sweats | 43 | 13.9 10.3–18.6ROR 14.2 · χ² 501 / p 3e-111 | 13.6 EB05 10.4 · IC025 +3.1 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 10.3 · 77% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Wrong technique in product usage process | 259 | 13.3 11.9–14.9ROR 15.1 · χ² 2,964 / p <1e-300 | 13.3 EB05 12.0 · IC025 +3.5 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 25.9 | no trial data cached |
| Product packaging issue | 11 | 12.3 6.8–22.2ROR 12.4 · χ² 103 / p 1e-24 | 10.5 EB05 5.5 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=1 | no trial data cached |
| Product prescribing issue | 21 | 10.7 7.0–16.4ROR 10.8 · χ² 175 / p 2e-40 | 9.8 EB05 6.4 · IC025 +2.4 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 12.4 | no trial data cached |
| Product quality issue | 134 | 10.3 8.8–12.2ROR 11.0 · χ² 1,125 / p 6e-247 | 10.2 EB05 8.8 · IC025 +3.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 6.0 | no trial data cached |
| Product availability issue | 20 | 9.3 6.0–14.3ROR 9.3 · χ² 139 / p 2e-32 | 8.2 EB05 5.4 · IC025 +2.2 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 4.5 · 80% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Abdominal pain lower | 17 | 7.0 4.3–11.2ROR 7.0 · χ² 81 / p 1e-19 | 6.0 EB05 3.9 · IC025 +1.8 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious PRR 37.1 | no trial data cached |
| Mood swings | 18 | 5.9 3.7–9.3ROR 5.9 · χ² 68 / p 9e-17 | 5.1 EB05 3.4 · IC025 +1.6 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 7.9 | no trial data cached |
| Middle insomnia | 10 | 5.6 3.0–10.4ROR 5.6 · χ² 33 / p 4e-9 | 4.5 EB05 2.7 · IC025 +1.1 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 11.3 | no trial data cached |
| Incorrect drug administration duration | 15 | 5.5 3.3–9.0ROR 5.5 · χ² 50 / p 7e-13 | 4.7 EB05 3.1 · IC025 +1.4 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 9.5 | no trial data cached |
| Drug dose omission | 87 | 5.4 4.4–6.6ROR 5.6 · χ² 309 / p 2e-69 | 5.2 EB05 4.4 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 3.7 | no trial data cached |
| Mood altered | 13 | 5.0 2.9–8.5ROR 5.0 · χ² 37 / p 5e-10 | 4.3 EB05 2.7 · IC025 +1.2 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 9.4 | no trial data cached |
| Incorrect dose administered by device | 12 | 4.9 2.8–8.6ROR 4.9 · χ² 34 / p 4e-9 | 4.2 EB05 2.6 · IC025 +1.1 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=3 | no trial data cached |
| Skin irritation | 18 | 4.1 2.6–6.4ROR 4.1 · χ² 39 / p 2e-10 | 3.7 EB05 2.5 · IC025 +1.1 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious n=3 | no trial data cached |
| Adverse event | 29 | 3.3 2.3–4.7ROR 3.3 · χ² 44 / p 2e-11 | 3.1 EB05 2.3 · IC025 +1.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 2.4 · 79% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Crying | 11 | 3.1 1.7–5.6ROR 3.1 · χ² 14 / p 1e-4 | 2.8 EB05 1.7 · IC025 +0.5 | Not in label — unassessed | serious PRR 9.0 | no trial data cached |
| Device use error | 10 | 3.0 1.6–5.7ROR 3.1 · χ² 12 / p 3e-4 | 2.8 EB05 1.6 · IC025 +0.4 | Reporting / coding artifact | – | no trial data cached |
| Inappropriate schedule of drug administration | 19 | 2.7 1.7–4.3ROR 2.7 · χ² 19 / p 6e-6 | 2.6 EB05 1.8 · IC025 +0.6 | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 2.3 | no trial data cached |
| No adverse event | 36 | 2.1 1.5–2.9ROR 2.1 · χ² 20 / p 4e-6 | 2.1 EB05 1.6 · IC025 +0.5 | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 13.4 · 86% consumer | no trial data cached |
Trial evidence (ClinicalTrials.gov)
Most frequently reported reactions
By raw co-report count, regardless of disproportionality. Common terms here are often the illness itself or generic outcomes.
| Reaction | Reports | PRR 95% CI · ROR · χ²/p | EBGM EB05 · IC025 | Label screen | Serious-only & strata | Trial cross-check |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Product adhesion issue | 668 | 199.3 187.1–212.2ROR 297.2 · χ² 129,287 / p <1e-300 | 194.4 EB05 182.3 · IC025 +7.3 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=66 | no trial data cached |
| Product physical issue | 329 | 174.2 157.6–192.4ROR 207.8 · χ² 55,575 / p <1e-300 | 169.6 EB05 154.7 · IC025 +6.9 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=26 | no trial data cached |
| Wrong technique in product usage process | 259 | 13.3 11.9–14.9ROR 15.1 · χ² 2,964 / p <1e-300 | 13.3 EB05 12.0 · IC025 +3.5 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 25.9 | no trial data cached |
| Device adhesion issue | 245 | 169.9 150.9–191.2ROR 193.2 · χ² 40,324 / p <1e-300 | 165.0 EB05 148.4 · IC025 +6.8 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=17 · 87% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Hot flush (hot flashes) | 226 | 31.2 27.6–35.3ROR 35.0 · χ² 6,579 / p <1e-300 | 31.0 EB05 27.8 · IC025 +4.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 27.6 · 70% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site rash | 189 | 144.1 125.7–165.2ROR 158.8 · χ² 26,360 / p <1e-300 | 140.1 EB05 124.1 · IC025 +6.5 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious n=3 · 79% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Product quality issue | 134 | 10.3 8.8–12.2ROR 11.0 · χ² 1,125 / p 6e-247 | 10.2 EB05 8.8 · IC025 +3.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 6.0 | no trial data cached |
| Application site pruritus | 107 | 49.1 40.8–59.1ROR 51.8 · χ² 4,980 / p <1e-300 | 48.5 EB05 41.3 · IC025 +5.0 3/3 methods agree | Labeled (related wording) related wording | serious n=4 · 78% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Application site erythema | 98 | 38.8 32.0–47.1ROR 40.7 · χ² 3,560 / p <1e-300 | 38.4 EB05 32.4 · IC025 +4.7 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=4 · 75% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Device breakage | 92 | 24.4 19.9–29.7ROR 25.5 · χ² 2,036 / p <1e-300 | 24.2 EB05 20.3 · IC025 +4.1 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 12.9 | no trial data cached |
| Application site irritation | 89 | 74.7 60.9–91.6ROR 78.1 · χ² 6,358 / p <1e-300 | 73.1 EB05 61.2 · IC025 +5.4 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious n=7 · 77% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Drug dose omission | 87 | 5.4 4.4–6.6ROR 5.6 · χ² 309 / p 2e-69 | 5.2 EB05 4.4 · IC025 +2.0 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious PRR 3.7 | no trial data cached |
| Vaginal haemorrhage | 73 | 17.8 14.2–22.3ROR 18.4 · χ² 1,142 / p 1e-250 | 17.7 EB05 14.5 · IC025 +3.6 3/3 methods agree | Labeled adverse reaction exact term | serious PRR 50.1 · 79% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Wrong technique in device usage process | 71 | 16.1 12.8–20.3ROR 16.7 · χ² 993 / p 2e-218 | 16.0 EB05 13.1 · IC025 +3.5 3/3 methods agree | Reporting / coding artifact | serious n=8 · 82% consumer | no trial data cached |
| Metrorrhagia | 51 | 30.7 23.4–40.2ROR 31.4 · χ² 1,432 / p <1e-300 | 30.3 EB05 23.9 · IC025 +4.1 3/3 methods agree | Not in label — unassessed | serious n=2 · 84% consumer | no trial data cached |
Unlabeled candidate signals
These flagged terms were not found in the FDA label text and do not match an artifact pattern. They are the pairs that would merit a structured assessment (temporality, dose-response, biological plausibility, consistency across databases, trial or cohort evidence). The screen has not done that; string-matching misses label wording, and a strong PRR can still be stimulated reporting, co-medication, or the disease itself.
- Metrorrhagia — n=51, PRR 30.7
- Night sweats — n=43, PRR 13.9
✓ A hand-written Bradford Hill causality assessment exists for this drug: Drospirenone/ethinyl estradiol ↔ Pulmonary embolism (venous thromboembolism).
Want to assess one of these properly? The runbook describes the Bradford Hill / trial-evidence workflow used on the assessment page, and handoff_top1000_signals.csv lists the strongest unassessed pairs across all drugs.
Common questions
What are the most reported side effects of Estradiol and Levonorgestrel?
In FDA FAERS, the most frequently co-reported reaction terms for Estradiol and Levonorgestrel are hot flush, application site rash, application site pruritus, application site erythema, application site irritation, vaginal haemorrhage. These are report counts, not rates: FAERS has no denominator, reporting is voluntary and uneven, and a term can be reported because of the illness being treated rather than the drug.
Does Estradiol and Levonorgestrel have an FDA boxed warning?
Yes. The current FDA label carries a boxed warning: ENDOMETRIAL CANCER, CARDIOVASCULAR DISORDERS, PROBABLE DEMENTIA, and BREAST CANCER Estrogen-Alone Therapy Endometrial Cancer There is an increased risk of endometrial cancer in a woman with a uterus who uses unopposed estrogens.
Do FAERS signals prove that Estradiol and Levonorgestrel causes these side effects?
No. A disproportionality signal (PRR, ROR) means a reaction is reported more often with this drug than with others in the database. That can reflect a real effect, but also the disease being treated, stimulated reporting after news or litigation, co-medications, or how reports are coded. Causality needs temporality, dose-response, biological plausibility, consistency across data sources and, ideally, trial or cohort evidence. This page screens each term against the FDA label and ClinicalTrials.gov results; it does not establish causation.
Sources & methods
- FDA label via openFDA (set ID 0500ee9b-bf4a-4432-9afe-20a7d60a6fe5, effective 20240514; matched on
openfda.generic_name.exact:"ESTRADIOL") - Bayesian shrinkage measures computed offline over all 1,317,300 cached pairs: BCPNN information component (IC, with Norén closed-form IC025) and MGPS empirical-Bayes geometric mean (EBGM, EB05) with a two-component gamma prior fitted by maximum marginal likelihood (α₁=0.57, β₁=0.02, α₂=1.42, β₂=0.70, w=0.17); unstratified
- FAERS pair statistics from the OpenPV build of 2026-09-14 (openFDA
count=aggregation, fieldpatient.drug.openfda.generic_name.exact, 50 reaction terms, min 3 co-reports); PRR/ROR with 95% CI, chi-square with Yates correction - Serious-only and stratified counts (serious:1, patient.patientsex, primarysource.qualification) from openFDA count queries; serious-only PRR uses the drug serious report total and the term global serious total (N_serious=11,882,979); strata shown only when n ≥ 20
- Seriousness and sex counts from openFDA
count=serious,patient.patientsex,seriousnessdeath
Page generated 2026-10-08. Label and PubChem text are retrieved automatically and may lag the current label; always check the current prescribing information. OpenPV is a beta research tool of the Open Source Medicine Foundation.