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Causality assessment · Expected pharmacological effect

Capecitabine and Palmar-plantar erythrodysaesthesia (hand-foot syndrome): is the FAERS signal real?

n=6,675 co-reports · PRR 92.1 · ROR 99.3
A written Bradford Hill assessment of one drug–event pair. The grade is a judgement about the signal, not a statement that this drug causes this event in any one person; FAERS counts are reports, not rates.
Expected pharmacological effect

Capecitabine ↔ Palmar-plantar erythrodysaesthesia (hand-foot syndrome)

n=6,675 co-reports · PRR 92.1 · ROR 99.3

Reporting over time (stimulated-reporting check)

2004: 35 reports (5.45% of the drug's reports)2005: 29 reports (3.52% of the drug's reports)2006: 35 reports (3.65% of the drug's reports)2007: 106 reports (6.11% of the drug's reports)2008: 101 reports (4.69% of the drug's reports)2009: 207 reports (7.44% of the drug's reports)2010: 218 reports (7.54% of the drug's reports)2011: 277 reports (10.72% of the drug's reports)2012: 328 reports (5.50% of the drug's reports)2013: 395 reports (9.26% of the drug's reports)2014: 244 reports (7.83% of the drug's reports)2015: 218 reports (7.36% of the drug's reports)2016: 294 reports (9.96% of the drug's reports)2017: 720 reports (10.22% of the drug's reports)2018: 453 reports (9.38% of the drug's reports)2019: 440 reports (7.76% of the drug's reports)2020: 541 reports (8.06% of the drug's reports)2021: 707 reports (9.05% of the drug's reports)2022: 385 reports (5.37% of the drug's reports)2023: 292 reports (4.92% of the drug's reports)2024: 261 reports (4.97% of the drug's reports)2025: 251 reports (5.34% of the drug's reports)05081114172023

No reporting spike: the pair's share of the drug's reports is fairly stable over time (busiest two years hold 19% of 6,537 reports), so stimulated reporting is unlikely to explain the signal.

Bars: reports per year as a share of all FAERS reports for this drug, 2004–2025; amber = spike year (>3× the median share, ≥50 reports). Source: openFDA count=receivedate, retrieved 2026-10-09.

Capecitabine is an oral fluoropyrimidine used for colorectal and breast cancer, and palmar-plantar erythrodysesthesia — "hand-foot syndrome": painful redness, swelling, and peeling of the palms and soles — is its signature toxicity. It occurs in a substantial minority of treated patients, is clearly dose- and schedule-dependent, and is well characterized and manageable (dose reduction, interruption, emollients, pyridoxine). This is a mechanistically direct, expected effect of the drug's own pharmacology, not an idiosyncratic reaction.

Regulatory basis: capecitabine prescribing information (hand-foot syndrome listed among the most common adverse reactions); confirmed by a randomized comparator arm (§ trial data below). A class effect of the fluoropyrimidines.

Bradford Hill viewpointStatusNote
Temporality (necessary)metAppears during cycles of treatment, after exposure begins
StrengthmetPRR 92, and ~20%+ incidence in a randomized comparator arm
ConsistencymetReproduced across capecitabine trials and real-world cohorts
SpecificitymetHighly characteristic of the fluoropyrimidine class
Biological gradientmetStriking dose/schedule dependence; continuous infusion and higher doses raise risk
PlausibilitymetDirect toxicity in high-turnover acral skin; named mechanism
CoherencemetCoheres with the drug's cytotoxicity and with other fluoropyrimidines
ExperimentmetResolves with dose reduction or interruption — a clean dechallenge
AnalogymetSeen with 5-fluorouracil and other fluoropyrimidines

This page's own qualitative read, not an automated/citation-gated assessment.

✓ Trial evidence found — physician's-choice chemotherapy (incl. capecitabine) vs talazoparib in BRCA breast cancer (NCT01945775, EMBRACA)

Term (as recorded)Physician's-choice arm (n=126)Talazoparib arm (n=286)
Palmar-plantar erythrodysaesthesia syndrome (other events)284

Hand-foot syndrome appeared in 28/126 (~22%) of the comparator arm, which includes capecitabine, versus 4/286 (~1.4%) on talazoparib — a large, textbook-consistent difference. Caveat: the comparator arm pools several drugs (capecitabine, eribulin, gemcitabine, vinorelbine), so it confirms the class/regimen effect more than capecitabine alone. View on ClinicalTrials.gov →