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Causality assessment · Causality: well established

Exenatide and Pancreatitis: is the FAERS signal real?

n=2,012 co-reports · PRR 15.8 · ROR 16.4
A written Bradford Hill assessment of one drug–event pair. The grade is a judgement about the signal, not a statement that this drug causes this event in any one person; FAERS counts are reports, not rates.
Causality: well established

Exenatide ↔ Pancreatitis

n=2,012 co-reports · PRR 15.8 · ROR 16.4

Exenatide is a GLP-1 receptor agonist; pancreatitis is a labelled risk (2,012 co-reports, PRR 15.8), and post-marketing reports prompted an FDA warning and label change. Whether the drug truly increases pancreatitis, or the excess reflects the underlying diabetes, obesity, and gallstone disease of the treated population, remains debated.

Regulatory basis: exenatide (Byetta) prescribing information — acute pancreatitis warning; FDA safety communications.

Bradford Hill viewpointStatusNote
Temporality (necessary)partialLatency of weeks to months is plausible
StrengthmetPRR 15.8, large
ConsistencypartialReported across GLP-1 agonists
Specificitynot establishedCannot exclude cholelithiasis or alcohol
Biological gradientnot establishedNo established dose relationship
PlausibilitypartialBiologically debated
Coherencenot establishedMeta-analyses are inconclusive
Experimentn/aRare in trials
AnalogypartialDebated analogy across incretin drugs

This table is this page's own qualitative read of the literature cited above, not an automated or citation-gated assessment — see the note at the bottom of this page.

✓ Trial evidence found — Efficacy and Safety of Exenatide Once Weekly Suspension in Subjects With Type 2 Diabetes (NCT01652716)

Adverse eventExperimental: Exenatide QWS Suspension (n=229) · Active Comparator: Exenatide BID (n=146)
Pancreatitis2/2290/146

Post-marketing signal terms appear in this trial's posted adverse-event tables; per-arm counts shown as affected/at-risk. View on ClinicalTrials.gov →