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Causality assessment · Causality: well established

Pembrolizumab (checkpoint inhibitors) and Hypothyroidism: is the FAERS signal real?

n=2,917 co-reports · PRR 20.1 · ROR 20.7
A written Bradford Hill assessment of one drug–event pair. The grade is a judgement about the signal, not a statement that this drug causes this event in any one person; FAERS counts are reports, not rates.
Causality: well established

Pembrolizumab (checkpoint inhibitors) ↔ Hypothyroidism

n=2,917 co-reports · PRR 20.1 · ROR 20.7 Hyperthyroidism / thyroiditis (related terms): further co-reports

Immune-checkpoint inhibitors such as pembrolizumab work by unleashing the immune system against cancer, and a predictable consequence is that the same immune activation can attack healthy organs — so-called immune-related adverse events. Thyroid dysfunction is the single most common endocrine irAE: patients frequently develop an early, transient hyperthyroid phase (thyroiditis) followed by hypothyroidism requiring lifelong replacement. In the clinical trials this is usually called thyroid disorders. Because these events are frequent, mechanistically understood, and manageable with hormone replacement, the labeling and oncology guidelines require baseline and periodic thyroid-function testing during therapy; unlike many signals on this page, this one is routinely captured in trial data precisely because it is so common.

Regulatory basis: pembrolizumab prescribing information (immune-mediated thyroid disorders; monitoring guidance). Randomized trial results (e.g. KEYNOTE-010).

Bradford Hill viewpointStatusNote
Temporality (necessary)metThyroid changes appear during therapy, often an early hyperthyroid phase then hypothyroidism
StrengthmetPRR 20 with a large co-report count and high event rates in trials
ConsistencymetReproduced across the whole checkpoint-inhibitor class and across trials
SpecificitymetA distinctive class effect of immune-checkpoint blockade, rare with most non-immunotherapy drugs
Biological gradientpartialBroadly related to immune activation rather than to a simple dose gradient
PlausibilitymetRelease of T-cell checkpoint restraint leads directly to organ-directed autoimmunity
CoherencemetCoheres with the broader immune-related AE spectrum (colitis, pneumonitis, hypophysitis)
ExperimentmetRandomized trials (e.g. KEYNOTE-010) directly measure thyroid-event rates by arm
AnalogymetAnalogous across all PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors

This page's own qualitative read, not an automated/citation-gated assessment.

✓ Trial evidence found — pembrolizumab (2 vs 10 mg/kg) vs docetaxel in NSCLC (KEYNOTE-010, NCT01905657), N=1,030

Term (as recorded)Pembrolizumab 2 mg/kg (n=339)Pembrolizumab 10 mg/kg (n=343)Docetaxel (n=309)
Hypothyroidism (non-serious)29291
Hyperthyroidism (non-serious)12193

Thyroid events are roughly 30-fold more frequent on pembrolizumab than on chemotherapy in a randomized trial — one of the strongest trial-level confirmations on this page, reflecting how common and measurable immune-checkpoint thyroid toxicity is. The hyperthyroid-then-hypothyroid sequence typical of thyroiditis is visible in the combined counts. View on ClinicalTrials.gov →