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Causality assessment · Monitoring-protocol artifact, not a drug effect

Warfarin and INR increased: is the FAERS signal real?

n=10,358 co-reports · PRR 93.4 · ROR 101.7
A written Bradford Hill assessment of one drug–event pair. The grade is a judgement about the signal, not a statement that this drug causes this event in any one person; FAERS counts are reports, not rates.
Monitoring-protocol artifact, not a drug effect

Warfarin ↔ INR increased

n=10,358 co-reports · PRR 93.4 · ROR 101.7

Warfarin's effect is measured by the INR, and the INR is the test used to dose it; a report of "international normalised ratio increased" is therefore partly a description of the drug working and partly of the monitoring built around it, not a discrete adverse event in the usual sense. The over-representation of INR terms for warfarin is expected: the test is nearly exclusive to vitamin-K-antagonist therapy, which guarantees disproportionality by construction. Genuine supratherapeutic INR with bleeding is a real and important warfarin hazard, but the raw "INR increased" signal is a monitoring/coding artifact rather than a novel safety finding. Tellingly, INR terms also appear in the comparator arm of a modern anticoagulant trial (below).

Methodological note, not a regulatory finding: INR is the monitoring parameter used to dose vitamin-K antagonists; its over-representation is a coding/monitoring artifact. Supratherapeutic INR with bleeding remains a real, labeled warfarin risk (warfarin prescribing information).

Bradford Hill viewpointStatusNote
Temporality (necessary)n/aThe INR is the measurement, not a biological event
StrengthmetPRR 93 — but this measures the exclusivity of the test, not harm
ConsistencymetConsistent wherever warfarin is monitored
Specificitynot establishedThe term reflects a required test, not a distinct clinical effect
Biological gradientn/a—
Plausibilityn/aINR rises because that is the drug's intended pharmacology, not an adverse reaction
Coherencenot establishedFails coherence as an adverse-reaction concept; it is a monitoring value
Experimentn/a—
AnalogymetDirectly analogous to other lab-monitoring artifacts (e.g. thalidomide ↔ hCG)

This page's own qualitative read, not an automated/citation-gated assessment.

✓ Trial evidence found — warfarin vs apixaban in atrial fibrillation (NCT00412984, ARISTOTLE)

Term (as recorded)Warfarin (n=9,088)Apixaban (n=9,052)
International normalised ratio increased (serious)35
International normalised ratio abnormal (serious)55

INR terms were recorded in both arms — even the apixaban arm, which does not require INR dosing — confirming that these entries track the monitoring/recording process rather than a drug-specific effect. View on ClinicalTrials.gov →